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Mark Cramer's C & X Report for the HandicappingEdge.Com.
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Kling's late-breaking bc picks
BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE FILLIES: INDIAN BLESSING has dominated her two races. She
showed in the one mile Frizette Stakes last time she can sit behind
another horse
and power past. Has a good post. PHANTOM INCOME was highly regarded
before having
a gate mishap in an August 15 stake. She projects to be the
pacesetter here and
might go a surprisingly long way at a price. SMARTY DEB defeated
males as an odds-
on favorite at Emerald Downs. Before you scoff, the third finisher
in that race
upset a male stake at Monmouth yesterday. BACKSEAT RHYTHM rallied well to be
second behind the top choice last time.
1.Indian Blessing, 2.Phantom Income, 3.Smarty Deb, 4.Backseat Rhythm
BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE: WAR PASS has won all three starts and has been
the leader
at every call of each race. He exits a mile event at Belmont where he set fast
fractions. Should love Monmouth Park. KODIAK KOWBOY would be one of
the favorites
in this race if not for the one length loss he tasted last time. Has
a much better
post than the horse who beat him. TALE OF EKATI was being brought
along carefully
for this race until a suicidal workout October 22. If he can overcome that, he
might well win. Has a mile work over the track. PYRO closed well
behind the top
choice last time. Pulls his rider off the second choice.
1.War Pass, 2.Kodiak Kowboy, 3.Tale of Ekati, 4.Pyro
BREEDERS' CUP FILLY & MARE TURF: PASSAGE OF TIME snapped back to form
last time in
the Group 1 Prix Vermeille. She was a gem of consistency going into
the English
Oaks, where she was favored. TIMARWA appears to be cycling back to
her best form
as well. She showed tactical speed in a nine furlong win last time.
May not want
bottomless soft turf. ALL MY LOVING'S race six days ago looks like
nothing more
than a paid workout for this. Trainer Aidan O'Brien adds lasix and
blinkers for
the first time. HONEY RIDER's last race is inexplicable. She has
run well over
this course and distance.
1.Passage of Time, 2.Timarwa, 3.All My Loving, 4.Honey Rider
BREEDERS' CUP SPRINT: IDIOT PROOF contested a strong pace and ran away
as much the
best over this track in July. Comes off a perfect sharpener over an artificial
surface. Breaks outside the second choice. TALENT SEARCH got a huge
break when
speedster Attila's Storm was scratched. This rapidly improving colt exits the
Vosburgh Stakes, where he dueled through torrid fractions. SMOKEY
STOVER has a
perfect running style for the set up of this race. However, he drew post one,
which may not be the best spot over the expected wet track.
MIDNIGHT LUTE would
be a huge favorite if this was a seven furlong event. Trainer
Baffert is a master
of sprint racing.
1.Idiot Proof, 2.Talent Search, 3.Smokey Stover, 4.Midnight Lute
BREEDERS' CUP MILE: JEREMY was a nose away from beating top miler Ramonti in the
Queen Anne Stakes at Ascot. He reportedly prefers turf better than very soft.
Let the price be your guide. EXCELLENT ART likes the distance and is better
suited to soft turf. The question is how jockey Johnny Murtaugh can work out a
trip from death post thirteen. KIP DEVILLE is the best North American miler
entered today. His last race versus Shakespeare was good enough to
win this. The
question is the soft turf. REBELLION is a ridiculous longshot.
Nevertheless, I
have a gut feeling he can get a small check.
1.Jeremy, 2.Excellent Art, 3.Kip Deville, 4.Rebellion
BREEDERS' CUP DISTAFF: LADY JOANNE is one length short of being undefeated this
year. Both of her losses were in prep races. Has enough speed to lay
close, but
can settle behind the pacesetter. GINGER PUNCH'S best race was at
this distance,
going two-turns at Saratoga. The filly has a win over a wet track
and should get
the right pace set-up. Has a strong rider. LEAR'S PRINCESS is just
as consistent
as the top choice. She was beaten a neck by Lady Joanne in the
Alabama. Today's
distance might be better for both. OCTAVE is another gem of
consistency. Might be
a hair less talented than the rest.
1.Lady Joanne, 2.Ginger Punch, 3.Lear's Princess, 4.Octave
BREEDERS' CUP TURF: RED ROCKS got lasix for the first time in the
process of winning
this race last year. According to his Racing Post ratings, he is
just as good or
better. Has a better post than the favorite. DYLAN THOMAS might win
this race by
a pole if he runs back to his European form. The distance is perfect
and he can
handle most turf conditions. The question is whether he is over the
top. GRAND
COUTURIER is a twelve furlong specialist. His victory over English Channel at
Saratoga was legitimate and he could do it again. BETTER TALK NOW
is a veteran
warrior. His best is good enough to win this.
1.Red Rocks, 2.Dylan Thomas, 3.Grand Couturier, 4.Better Talk Now
BREEDERS' CUP CLASSIC: CURLIN is the best horse in the race. The only question I
have is how well he will handle the track condition. Yesterday's
Monmouth races
suggested horses can win from off the pace. STREET SENSE has more athleticism
than Curlin. He is coming into this race in a similar fashion as for
the Kentucky
Derby. Has acceleration that can adjust to any pace. LAWYER RON has
the speed to
control this race, either by pressing Hard Spun or talking the lead if needed.
A repeat of his Saratoga races would make him hard to deny. ANY
GIVEN SATURDAY
romped at Monmouth in the Haskell. Jerry Bailey said he would ride
this horse if
given the choice of any of the Classic contenders.
1.Curlin, 2.Street Sense, 3.Lawyer Ron, 4.Any Given Saturday