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Mark Cramer's C & X Report for the HandicappingEdge.Com.

Sunday, October 01, 2006

Quick note:
(1) For the final Longchamp race, a small bet for a big price, try the 20 horse, VICCHIO, who has a hot German trainer. The horse has won before at this level.
(2) Sorry I goofed about the distance of the Marcel Boussac race. It is a mile. I stick with my same choice.
(3) In Friday's post I said that CASH INCLUDED was the best win bet. He paid 29.40 at Oak Tree. I won't be a bum for at least another month.

CASH INCLUDED, has the best stats for the win of all these horses, though he too could be forced wide. The stat that I like the most is that Nakatani has started the meet on fire, and so often in these shorter meets, the rider who begins hot continues that way throughout. A second stat is that Nakatain wins nearly 33% with the Craig Dollase stable. Though the trainer's win % leaves something to be desired, in Sprint-to-Route he has a 15% positive return on investment and in the 2-y-o category he's even better. The point is that 2 year olds can show remarkable improvement. CASH INCLUDED went from a 61 Beyer in his debut race to an 81 Beyer in his second and most recent try. He figures to stretch out quite well, based on pedigree, so what would happen if he improves another 20 Beyer points.
In conclusion, OUTOFTHEPAST is the exotic inclusion and CASH INCLUDED is the improving horse that might surprise for a win at decent odds.

Hope you'll consider renewing your subscription to C&X. Lots of exciting new things are planned for this coming season.
Mark

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