Mark Cramer
C & X Report

This is Post 3. F&M. (A insight) Still with SATWA QUEEN every which way. The two faves and Germance can be used. TURF. (B- insight) Still SCORPION. Fabre is not even coming to see Hurricane Run. Maybe he's afraid of jinxing his horse. HR has had some mighty bad luck of late. In any case, I'm still taking a chance on SCORPION. Fifty percent chance to peak and fifty percent chance that the layoff was too long and comeback too short. I'll take the risk. CLASSIC. (B- insight) I'm gonna give you two lists of horses. Tell me which list is better. List a: Andromeda's Hero, Minister's Bid, Wanderin Boy, Bluegrass Cat, Dr. Pleasure. List b: The Tin Man, Pride, Echo of Light, Rob Roy, Ouija Board. List a all lost to Bernardini. List b all lost to David Junior. No horse defeated by Bernardini has deserved a place in the 2006 Breeders' Cup. 4 horses in this year's BC have lost races to David Junior. Echo of Light lost to David Junior by 26 lengths, sandwiched between two victories for Echo of Light. Rob Roy lost by 17 lengths to David Junior, sandwiched between two victories for Rob Roy. So you ask, what about pedigree. DJ's daddy is none other than Pleasant Tap, a second-place finisher in the BC Classic. DJ can handle the dirt. There is a serious question: DJ's 4-month layoff. He did win the Dubai Duty Free, following a 4-month layoff, so this is not a stretch. Dr. Billy M has mentioned that Lawyer Ron is a purchase, now in Pletcher's barn. He goes from a 14% trainer to a 26% trainer, and he gets Patrick Valenzuela. If Lewis Michael does well in the sprint, this would boost the stock of Lawyer Ron. Lawyer Ron qualifies by my 100 DRF Speed Rating angle. He has bettered 100 in his last two races, and one of them had a 10 variant. This is LR's third race after the layoff, a form pattern I like to see. We have a very fresh horse. More on Lawyer Ron when I refer to Lewis Michael. I have envisioned Pletcher blanking and then getting it all back in the last race. DAVID JUNIOR and LAWYER RON. I will have win money on each of these. I believe that the Classic still has the highest average mutuel historically of any BC race. SPRINT (insight C- because I'm going against legit faves) The two favorites both look legit. Contention goes very deep. Dr. Billy M., came across Lawyer Ron for perhaps a more legit reason than I did. I first noticed Lawyer Ron when I was handicapping the Sprint. At FP, LEWIS MICHAEL had the lead at the 6f mark, and then Lawyer Ron chased him down. The DRF rating for LR was 110 and for LM it was 107. The variant was 10. I feel that once again, the Beyer guys are downgrading FP. Lawyer Ron gets a 120 (DRF speed rating plus track variant) and Bernardini and Invasor do not come near that. No one more argument. LEWIS MICHAEL is the full brother of the very speedy Dreaming of Anna (JuvFil). LEWIS MICHAEL has been improving his early speed and has led in both of his last races, more or less around the 6f mark. If this race did not have legit faves, I'd be all over LEWIS MICHAEL. As it is, I will play the horse to win and cover in exactas. MILE. (Insight, D+) The Mile is even more deeply contentious than the Sprint. Very few eliminations in the Mile. Nothing wrong with Echo of Light (Dettori), Free Thinking (loves distance, improving) , Miesque's Approval (crafty trainer), and the more hyped horses deserve the attention, so you can read about them elsewhere. I'm settling on a longshot. ROB ROY. Reasons: (1) slaughtered by Pride in 2005, close to Pride in 2006 when Pride was at peak (2) defeated Aussi Rules and Araafa, when Rob Roy was coming back after a layoff (3) finished ahead of Hurricane Run in last race, which really was too far for Rob Roy (4) Michael Stoute has won 3 BC races. He's been here and done it. Don't tell my mother that I'm playing this race. It is so deeply contentious, that whichever horse wins, we will look back and say, 'I shoulda had him'. DISTAFF This could be a good betting race, because most of these horses could beat each other on a given day, and there are 7 other horses that could be just as fast as the favorite on their best day. But I've indulged enough in the Sprint and the Mile, so I'll pass unless some great info comes in tomorrow. I'll post again tomorrow. Remember that if you have a good longshot in a race where the favorite is legit, be sure to back up with exactas as place bets and sometimes even tris as show bets. If the favorites are not legit, then across the board in a huge field could be worthy. Also remember that if you're going for the homerun, as I am, it's possible to strike out. That's the nature of the game. Mark | | | | | Inbox

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This is Post 3.
F&M. (A insight)
Still with SATWA QUEEN every which way. The two faves and Germance can be used.
TURF. (B- insight)
Still SCORPION. Fabre is not even coming to see Hurricane Run. Maybe he's afraid of jinxing his horse. HR has had some mighty bad luck of late. In any case, I'm still taking a chance on SCORPION. Fifty percent chance to peak and fifty percent chance that the layoff was too long and comeback too short. I'll take the risk.
CLASSIC. (B- insight)
I'm gonna give you two lists of horses. Tell me which list is better.
List a: Andromeda's Hero, Minister's Bid, Wanderin Boy, Bluegrass Cat, Dr. Pleasure.
List b: The Tin Man, Pride, Echo of Light, Rob Roy, Ouija Board.
List a all lost to Bernardini.
List b all lost to David Junior.
No horse defeated by Bernardini has deserved a place in the 2006 Breeders' Cup.
4 horses in this year's BC have lost races to David Junior.
Echo of Light lost to David Junior by 26 lengths, sandwiched between two victories for Echo of Light. Rob Roy lost by 17 lengths to David Junior, sandwiched between two victories for Rob Roy.
So you ask, what about pedigree. DJ's daddy is none other than Pleasant Tap, a second-place finisher in the BC Classic. DJ can handle the dirt.
There is a serious question: DJ's 4-month layoff. He did win the Dubai Duty Free, following a 4-month layoff, so this is not a stretch.
Dr. Billy M has mentioned that Lawyer Ron is a purchase, now in Pletcher's barn. He goes from a 14% trainer to a 26% trainer, and he gets Patrick Valenzuela. If Lewis Michael does well in the sprint, this would boost the stock of Lawyer Ron. Lawyer Ron qualifies by my 100 DRF Speed Rating angle. He has bettered 100 in his last two races, and one of them had a 10 variant. This is LR's third race after the layoff, a form pattern I like to see. We have a very fresh horse. More on Lawyer Ron when I refer to Lewis Michael. I have envisioned Pletcher blanking and then getting it all back in the last race.
DAVID JUNIOR and LAWYER RON. I will have win money on each of these. I believe that the Classic still has the highest average mutuel historically of any BC race.
SPRINT (insight C- because I'm going against legit faves)
The two favorites both look legit. Contention goes very deep. Dr. Billy M., came across Lawyer Ron for perhaps a more legit reason than I did. I first noticed Lawyer Ron when I was handicapping the Sprint. At FP, LEWIS MICHAEL had the lead at the 6f mark, and then Lawyer Ron chased him down. The DRF rating for LR was 110 and for LM it was 107. The variant was 10. I feel that once again, the Beyer guys are downgrading FP. Lawyer Ron gets a 120 (DRF speed rating plus track variant) and Bernardini and Invasor do not come near that.
No one more argument. LEWIS MICHAEL is the full brother of the very speedy Dreaming of Anna (JuvFil). LEWIS MICHAEL has been improving his early speed and has led in both of his last races, more or less around the 6f mark. If this race did not have legit faves, I'd be all over LEWIS MICHAEL. As it is, I will play the horse to win and cover in exactas.
MILE. (Insight, D+)
The Mile is even more deeply contentious than the Sprint. Very few eliminations in the Mile. Nothing wrong with Echo of Light (Dettori), Free Thinking (loves distance, improving) , Miesque's Approval (crafty trainer), and the more hyped horses deserve the attention, so you can read about them elsewhere. I'm settling on a longshot.
ROB ROY. Reasons:
(1) slaughtered by Pride in 2005, close to Pride in 2006 when Pride was at peak
(2) defeated Aussi Rules and Araafa, when Rob Roy was coming back after a layoff
(3) finished ahead of Hurricane Run in last race, which really was too far for Rob Roy
(4) Michael Stoute has won 3 BC races. He's been here and done it.
Don't tell my mother that I'm playing this race. It is so deeply contentious, that whichever horse wins, we will look back and say, 'I shoulda had him'.
DISTAFF
This could be a good betting race, because most of these horses could beat each other on a given day, and there are 7 other horses that could be just as fast as the favorite on their best day. But I've indulged enough in the Sprint and the Mile, so I'll pass unless some great info comes in tomorrow.
I'll post again tomorrow.
Remember that if you have a good longshot in a race where the favorite is legit, be sure to back up with exactas as place bets and sometimes even tris as show bets. If the favorites are not legit, then across the board in a huge field could be worthy.
Mark

This is Post 3.
F&M. (A insight)
Still with SATWA QUEEN every which way. The two faves and Germance can be used.
TURF. (B- insight)
Still SCORPION. Fabre is not even coming to see Hurricane Run. Maybe he's afraid of jinxing his horse. HR has had some mighty bad luck of late. In any case, I'm still taking a chance on SCORPION. Fifty percent chance to peak and fifty percent chance that the layoff was too long and comeback too short. I'll take the risk.
CLASSIC. (B- insight)
I'm gonna give you two lists of horses. Tell me which list is better.
List a: Andromeda's Hero, Minister's Bid, Wanderin Boy, Bluegrass Cat, Dr. Pleasure.
List b: The Tin Man, Pride, Echo of Light, Rob Roy, Ouija Board.
List a all lost to Bernardini.
List b all lost to David Junior.
No horse defeated by Bernardini has deserved a place in the 2006 Breeders' Cup.
4 horses in this year's BC have lost races to David Junior.
Echo of Light lost to David Junior by 26 lengths, sandwiched between two victories for Echo of Light. Rob Roy lost by 17 lengths to David Junior, sandwiched between two victories for Rob Roy.
So you ask, what about pedigree. DJ's daddy is none other than Pleasant Tap, a second-place finisher in the BC Classic. DJ can handle the dirt.
There is a serious question: DJ's 4-month layoff. He did win the Dubai Duty Free, following a 4-month layoff, so this is not a stretch.
Dr. Billy M has mentioned that Lawyer Ron is a purchase, now in Pletcher's barn. He goes from a 14% trainer to a 26% trainer, and he gets Patrick Valenzuela. If Lewis Michael does well in the sprint, this would boost the stock of Lawyer Ron. Lawyer Ron qualifies by my 100 DRF Speed Rating angle. He has bettered 100 in his last two races, and one of them had a 10 variant. This is LR's third race after the layoff, a form pattern I like to see. We have a very fresh horse. More on Lawyer Ron when I refer to Lewis Michael. I have envisioned Pletcher blanking and then getting it all back in the last race.
DAVID JUNIOR and LAWYER RON. I will have win money on each of these. I believe that the Classic still has the highest average mutuel historically of any BC race.
SPRINT (insight C- because I'm going against legit faves)
The two favorites both look legit. Contention goes very deep. Dr. Billy M., came across Lawyer Ron for perhaps a more legit reason than I did. I first noticed Lawyer Ron when I was handicapping the Sprint. At FP, LEWIS MICHAEL had the lead at the 6f mark, and then Lawyer Ron chased him down. The DRF rating for LR was 110 and for LM it was 107. The variant was 10. I feel that once again, the Beyer guys are downgrading FP. Lawyer Ron gets a 120 (DRF speed rating plus track variant) and Bernardini and Invasor do not come near that.
No one more argument. LEWIS MICHAEL is the full brother of the very speedy Dreaming of Anna (JuvFil). LEWIS MICHAEL has been improving his early speed and has led in both of his last races, more or less around the 6f mark. If this race did not have legit faves, I'd be all over LEWIS MICHAEL. As it is, I will play the horse to win and cover in exactas.
MILE. (Insight, D+)
The Mile is even more deeply contentious than the Sprint. Very few eliminations in the Mile. Nothing wrong with Echo of Light (Dettori), Free Thinking (loves distance, improving) , Miesque's Approval (crafty trainer), and the more hyped horses deserve the attention, so you can read about them elsewhere. I'm settling on a longshot.
ROB ROY. Reasons:
(1) slaughtered by Pride in 2005, close to Pride in 2006 when Pride was at peak
(2) defeated Aussi Rules and Araafa, when Rob Roy was coming back after a layoff
(3) finished ahead of Hurricane Run in last race, which really was too far for Rob Roy
(4) Michael Stoute has won 3 BC races. He's been here and done it.
Don't tell my mother that I'm playing this race. It is so deeply contentious, that whichever horse wins, we will look back and say, 'I shoulda had him'.
DISTAFF
This could be a good betting race, because most of these horses could beat each other on a given day, and there are 7 other horses that could be just as fast as the favorite on their best day. But I've indulged enough in the Sprint and the Mile, so I'll pass unless some great info comes in tomorrow.
I'll post again tomorrow.
Remember that if you have a good longshot in a race where the favorite is legit, be sure to back up with exactas as place bets and sometimes even tris as show bets. If the favorites are not legit, then across the board in a huge field could be worthy.
Mark

This is Post 3.
F&M. (A insight)
Still with SATWA QUEEN every which way. The two faves and Germance can be used.
TURF. (B- insight)
Still SCORPION. Fabre is not even coming to see Hurricane Run. Maybe he's afraid of jinxing his horse. HR has had some mighty bad luck of late. In any case, I'm still taking a chance on SCORPION. Fifty percent chance to peak and fifty percent chance that the layoff was too long and comeback too short. I'll take the risk.
CLASSIC. (B- insight)
I'm gonna give you two lists of horses. Tell me which list is better.
List a: Andromeda's Hero, Minister's Bid, Wanderin Boy, Bluegrass Cat, Dr. Pleasure.
List b: The Tin Man, Pride, Echo of Light, Rob Roy, Ouija Board.
List a all lost to Bernardini.
List b all lost to David Junior.
No horse defeated by Bernardini has deserved a place in the 2006 Breeders' Cup.
4 horses in this year's BC have lost races to David Junior.
Echo of Light lost to David Junior by 26 lengths, sandwiched between two victories for Echo of Light. Rob Roy lost by 17 lengths to David Junior, sandwiched between two victories for Rob Roy.
So you ask, what about pedigree. DJ's daddy is none other than Pleasant Tap, a second-place finisher in the BC Classic. DJ can handle the dirt.
There is a serious question: DJ's 4-month layoff. He did win the Dubai Duty Free, following a 4-month layoff, so this is not a stretch.
Dr. Billy M has mentioned that Lawyer Ron is a purchase, now in Pletcher's barn. He goes from a 14% trainer to a 26% trainer, and he gets Patrick Valenzuela. If Lewis Michael does well in the sprint, this would boost the stock of Lawyer Ron. Lawyer Ron qualifies by my 100 DRF Speed Rating angle. He has bettered 100 in his last two races, and one of them had a 10 variant. This is LR's third race after the layoff, a form pattern I like to see. We have a very fresh horse. More on Lawyer Ron when I refer to Lewis Michael. I have envisioned Pletcher blanking and then getting it all back in the last race.
DAVID JUNIOR and LAWYER RON. I will have win money on each of these. I believe that the Classic still has the highest average mutuel historically of any BC race.
SPRINT (insight C- because I'm going against legit faves)
The two favorites both look legit. Contention goes very deep. Dr. Billy M., came across Lawyer Ron for perhaps a more legit reason than I did. I first noticed Lawyer Ron when I was handicapping the Sprint. At FP, LEWIS MICHAEL had the lead at the 6f mark, and then Lawyer Ron chased him down. The DRF rating for LR was 110 and for LM it was 107. The variant was 10. I feel that once again, the Beyer guys are downgrading FP. Lawyer Ron gets a 120 (DRF speed rating plus track variant) and Bernardini and Invasor do not come near that.
No one more argument. LEWIS MICHAEL is the full brother of the very speedy Dreaming of Anna (JuvFil). LEWIS MICHAEL has been improving his early speed and has led in both of his last races, more or less around the 6f mark. If this race did not have legit faves, I'd be all over LEWIS MICHAEL. As it is, I will play the horse to win and cover in exactas.
MILE. (Insight, D+)
The Mile is even more deeply contentious than the Sprint. Very few eliminations in the Mile. Nothing wrong with Echo of Light (Dettori), Free Thinking (loves distance, improving) , Miesque's Approval (crafty trainer), and the more hyped horses deserve the attention, so you can read about them elsewhere. I'm settling on a longshot.
ROB ROY. Reasons:
(1) slaughtered by Pride in 2005, close to Pride in 2006 when Pride was at peak
(2) defeated Aussi Rules and Araafa, when Rob Roy was coming back after a layoff
(3) finished ahead of Hurricane Run in last race, which really was too far for Rob Roy
(4) Michael Stoute has won 3 BC races. He's been here and done it.
Don't tell my mother that I'm playing this race. It is so deeply contentious, that whichever horse wins, we will look back and say, 'I shoulda had him'.
DISTAFF
This could be a good betting race, because most of these horses could beat each other on a given day, and there are 7 other horses that could be just as fast as the favorite on their best day. But I've indulged enough in the Sprint and the Mile, so I'll pass unless some great info comes in tomorrow.
I'll post again tomorrow.
Remember that if you have a good longshot in a race where the favorite is legit, be sure to back up with exactas as place bets and sometimes even tris as show bets. If the favorites are not legit, then across the board in a huge field could be worthy.
Mark

This is Post 3.
F&M. (A insight)
Still with SATWA QUEEN every which way. The two faves and Germance can be used.
TURF. (B- insight)
Still SCORPION. Fabre is not even coming to see Hurricane Run. Maybe he's afraid of jinxing his horse. HR has had some mighty bad luck of late. In any case, I'm still taking a chance on SCORPION. Fifty percent chance to peak and fifty percent chance that the layoff was too long and comeback too short. I'll take the risk.
CLASSIC. (B- insight)
I'm gonna give you two lists of horses. Tell me which list is better.
List a: Andromeda's Hero, Minister's Bid, Wanderin Boy, Bluegrass Cat, Dr. Pleasure.
List b: The Tin Man, Pride, Echo of Light, Rob Roy, Ouija Board.
List a all lost to Bernardini.
List b all lost to David Junior.
No horse defeated by Bernardini has deserved a place in the 2006 Breeders' Cup.
4 horses in this year's BC have lost races to David Junior.
Echo of Light lost to David Junior by 26 lengths, sandwiched between two victories for Echo of Light. Rob Roy lost by 17 lengths to David Junior, sandwiched between two victories for Rob Roy.
So you ask, what about pedigree. DJ's daddy is none other than Pleasant Tap, a second-place finisher in the BC Classic. DJ can handle the dirt.
There is a serious question: DJ's 4-month layoff. He did win the Dubai Duty Free, following a 4-month layoff, so this is not a stretch.
Dr. Billy M has mentioned that Lawyer Ron is a purchase, now in Pletcher's barn. He goes from a 14% trainer to a 26% trainer, and he gets Patrick Valenzuela. If Lewis Michael does well in the sprint, this would boost the stock of Lawyer Ron. Lawyer Ron qualifies by my 100 DRF Speed Rating angle. He has bettered 100 in his last two races, and one of them had a 10 variant. This is LR's third race after the layoff, a form pattern I like to see. We have a very fresh horse. More on Lawyer Ron when I refer to Lewis Michael. I have envisioned Pletcher blanking and then getting it all back in the last race.
DAVID JUNIOR and LAWYER RON. I will have win money on each of these. I believe that the Classic still has the highest average mutuel historically of any BC race.
SPRINT (insight C- because I'm going against legit faves)
The two favorites both look legit. Contention goes very deep. Dr. Billy M., came across Lawyer Ron for perhaps a more legit reason than I did. I first noticed Lawyer Ron when I was handicapping the Sprint. At FP, LEWIS MICHAEL had the lead at the 6f mark, and then Lawyer Ron chased him down. The DRF rating for LR was 110 and for LM it was 107. The variant was 10. I feel that once again, the Beyer guys are downgrading FP. Lawyer Ron gets a 120 (DRF speed rating plus track variant) and Bernardini and Invasor do not come near that.
No one more argument. LEWIS MICHAEL is the full brother of the very speedy Dreaming of Anna (JuvFil). LEWIS MICHAEL has been improving his early speed and has led in both of his last races, more or less around the 6f mark. If this race did not have legit faves, I'd be all over LEWIS MICHAEL. As it is, I will play the horse to win and cover in exactas.
MILE. (Insight, D+)
The Mile is even more deeply contentious than the Sprint. Very few eliminations in the Mile. Nothing wrong with Echo of Light (Dettori), Free Thinking (loves distance, improving) , Miesque's Approval (crafty trainer), and the more hyped horses deserve the attention, so you can read about them elsewhere. I'm settling on a longshot.
ROB ROY. Reasons:
(1) slaughtered by Pride in 2005, close to Pride in 2006 when Pride was at peak
(2) defeated Aussi Rules and Araafa, when Rob Roy was coming back after a layoff
(3) finished ahead of Hurricane Run in last race, which really was too far for Rob Roy
(4) Michael Stoute has won 3 BC races. He's been here and done it.
Don't tell my mother that I'm playing this race. It is so deeply contentious, that whichever horse wins, we will look back and say, 'I shoulda had him'.
DISTAFF
This could be a good betting race, because most of these horses could beat each other on a given day, and there are 7 other horses that could be just as fast as the favorite on their best day. But I've indulged enough in the Sprint and the Mile, so I'll pass unless some great info comes in tomorrow.
I'll post again tomorrow.
Remember that if you have a good longshot in a race where the favorite is legit, be sure to back up with exactas as place bets and sometimes even tris as show bets. If the favorites are not legit, then across the board in a huge field could be worthy.
Mark

This is Post 3.
F&M. (A insight)
Still with SATWA QUEEN every which way. The two faves and Germance can be used.
TURF. (B- insight)
Still SCORPION. Fabre is not even coming to see Hurricane Run. Maybe he's afraid of jinxing his horse. HR has had some mighty bad luck of late. In any case, I'm still taking a chance on SCORPION. Fifty percent chance to peak and fifty percent chance that the layoff was too long and comeback too short. I'll take the risk.
CLASSIC. (B- insight)
I'm gonna give you two lists of horses. Tell me which list is better.
List a: Andromeda's Hero, Minister's Bid, Wanderin Boy, Bluegrass Cat, Dr. Pleasure.
List b: The Tin Man, Pride, Echo of Light, Rob Roy, Ouija Board.
List a all lost to Bernardini.
List b all lost to David Junior.
No horse defeated by Bernardini has deserved a place in the 2006 Breeders' Cup.
4 horses in this year's BC have lost races to David Junior.
Echo of Light lost to David Junior by 26 lengths, sandwiched between two victories for Echo of Light. Rob Roy lost by 17 lengths to David Junior, sandwiched between two victories for Rob Roy.
So you ask, what about pedigree. DJ's daddy is none other than Pleasant Tap, a second-place finisher in the BC Classic. DJ can handle the dirt.
There is a serious question: DJ's 4-month layoff. He did win the Dubai Duty Free, following a 4-month layoff, so this is not a stretch.
Dr. Billy M has mentioned that Lawyer Ron is a purchase, now in Pletcher's barn. He goes from a 14% trainer to a 26% trainer, and he gets Patrick Valenzuela. If Lewis Michael does well in the sprint, this would boost the stock of Lawyer Ron. Lawyer Ron qualifies by my 100 DRF Speed Rating angle. He has bettered 100 in his last two races, and one of them had a 10 variant. This is LR's third race after the layoff, a form pattern I like to see. We have a very fresh horse. More on Lawyer Ron when I refer to Lewis Michael. I have envisioned Pletcher blanking and then getting it all back in the last race.
DAVID JUNIOR and LAWYER RON. I will have win money on each of these. I believe that the Classic still has the highest average mutuel historically of any BC race.
SPRINT (insight C- because I'm going against legit faves)
The two favorites both look legit. Contention goes very deep. Dr. Billy M., came across Lawyer Ron for perhaps a more legit reason than I did. I first noticed Lawyer Ron when I was handicapping the Sprint. At FP, LEWIS MICHAEL had the lead at the 6f mark, and then Lawyer Ron chased him down. The DRF rating for LR was 110 and for LM it was 107. The variant was 10. I feel that once again, the Beyer guys are downgrading FP. Lawyer Ron gets a 120 (DRF speed rating plus track variant) and Bernardini and Invasor do not come near that.
No one more argument. LEWIS MICHAEL is the full brother of the very speedy Dreaming of Anna (JuvFil). LEWIS MICHAEL has been improving his early speed and has led in both of his last races, more or less around the 6f mark. If this race did not have legit faves, I'd be all over LEWIS MICHAEL. As it is, I will play the horse to win and cover in exactas.
MILE. (Insight, D+)
The Mile is even more deeply contentious than the Sprint. Very few eliminations in the Mile. Nothing wrong with Echo of Light (Dettori), Free Thinking (loves distance, improving) , Miesque's Approval (crafty trainer), and the more hyped horses deserve the attention, so you can read about them elsewhere. I'm settling on a longshot.
ROB ROY. Reasons:
(1) slaughtered by Pride in 2005, close to Pride in 2006 when Pride was at peak
(2) defeated Aussi Rules and Araafa, when Rob Roy was coming back after a layoff
(3) finished ahead of Hurricane Run in last race, which really was too far for Rob Roy
(4) Michael Stoute has won 3 BC races. He's been here and done it.
Don't tell my mother that I'm playing this race. It is so deeply contentious, that whichever horse wins, we will look back and say, 'I shoulda had him'.
DISTAFF
This could be a good betting race, because most of these horses could beat each other on a given day, and there are 7 other horses that could be just as fast as the favorite on their best day. But I've indulged enough in the Sprint and the Mile, so I'll pass unless some great info comes in tomorrow.
I'll post again tomorrow.
Remember that if you have a good longshot in a race where the favorite is legit, be sure to back up with exactas as place bets and sometimes even tris as show bets. If the favorites are not legit, then across the board in a huge field could be worthy.
Mark